My personal favorite comes from PCWorld's Jarred Newman:
- don't ignore spam (pretty down to earth advice, you'd think, but apparently Myspace omitted it);
- redesigns won't save you (that's a good lesson, sound like panic football if you do);
- discovery is automatic now (in other words: use the networking element for discovery, building a platform for discovery is passé);
- you can't rely on kids (perhaps the most noteworthy advice)
In the 'new normal', yes, it is a completely realistic scenario. In my own opinion, social media itself (being a result of a megatrend, rather than a trend in itself) will ultimately prove to be a momentary impulse, soon to be replaced by something else. Giant like Facebook, if they prove to be unadaptable to changing conditions, will fail as well...
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