Monday, January 17, 2011

How megatrends influence and affect each other

A challenge...

I'm investigating ways of showing how megatrends influence each-other (as a driver, an inhibitor, or as a consequence from one another).

As you might remember from previous blog posts, I have been using the Cayra software previously (which you can download for free on cnet), with this type of result:


Nice indeed, but it hardly shows HOW the trends are interrelated, and to be fair the tool is a but harsh to use... loads of 'trial and errors' are needed before obtaining a decent picture, at least if you have as many variables as I have with the 24 megatrends I currently cover.


One reader (thanks, Adrew) suggested a matrix with the trends both on the vertical and horizontal axis. I tried it out:


 There's something in this, picturally it is much stronger than the Cayra tool, but again it is very hard to show HOW the trends inter-relate without having to use text... Perhaps with color coding (there's already some trial in the example above, the orange cells show a negative effect), and adding a meaning to the vertical vs horizontal reading...

On the other hand the chart shouldn't become too heavy or unreadable...

...as I said, this is a challenge... anyone with any bright idea?

2 comments:

  1. When using the Cayra tool (at your suggestion thanks!) I use the "link type" naming feature to describe the relationship between trends. Eventually you discover relationship categories which are as useful to monitor as the trends themselves.

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