Fair enough, I’d say. But on the other hand, it’s not a proof that they’d automatically do badly neither. And if ‘success’ is environment-specific , so should failure be as well?
Surely, there must be other forces at play. By coincidence, I just finished reading How The Mighty Fall: And Why Some Companies Never Give Inby Jim Collins (the author of Good to Great: and Built to Last: Successful Habits of Visionary Companies). Through Jim’s research on once-successful companies, he distills 5 stages in the failure of big companies:
In a much summarized version, the 5 stages sound like this:
- Think success is due to them (it rarely is)
- Hunger for (ever) more and bigger
- Discard negative news (denial)
- Gasp for ‘saviors’
- Fall into oblivion
Nevertheless, there are ways out –as Xerox and (well, yes) Churchill have shown us: get back to the basics, focus on management discipline, etc. ‘Get your act together’, in short. Simple enough, but why is it so rare to see troubled companies act on it? It’s a wise enough lesson for today’s giants (Google, Apple, Facebook) to track early warnings of decline…
Well worth the read:
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